This week Ireland had a very successful bond auction. The fact that there were €44.5bn worth of offers for €5bn worth of bonds suggests that investors have rediscovered their faith in the Irish economy, but unfortunately things are not that simple. Ireland's bonds were so popular because they are supported by the EU's new bailout fund, the EFSF (European Financial Stability Fund). And not only is this fund backed by 13 of the Eurozone members, but well over half of the €440bn that makes up the fund comes from European states which have AAA credit ratings: indeed €119bn, or 27%, comes from Germany alone. So the markets weren't really buying Irish debt – they were buying German. And they were doing it at a discount rate, for less than it costs to buy real German debt.
These problems are at the heart of the big struggle between Eurozone powerhouse Germany and the European Commission. Angela Merkel and Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso are at loggerheads over Barroso's desire to get the EFSF reformed at next Friday's EU Heads of State summit. Merkel wants to wait for two reasons: First, as the Irish bond auction illustrated, Germany is being put in a difficult position through the EFSF. It wants to wait until the next EU Heads of State summit in March to look at the issue and prepare a broader set of measures which force struggling states to agree to strict, standardised, fiscal controls. Secondly, parts of Germany are going to the polls in the upcoming months, and Merkel cannot afford to be seen to be bailing out the rest of the Eurozone and getting nothing in return.
The fundamental differences in Eurozone economies and the divide between the fiscally 'responsible' northern states like the Netherlands and Germany and the indebted southern states like Italy and Portugal have yet to be resolved. The recession and the creation of a permanent bailout fund have just brought them to the fore.
Showing posts with label Angela Merkel. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Angela Merkel. Show all posts
Sunday, 30 January 2011
Monday, 6 September 2010
Atomkraft, Ja!
Angela Merkel's coalition government has agreed to extend the lifespans of Germany's nuclear power plants. We should be doing the same.Nuclear power is not perfect, obviously, but then no power source is. Given the rate that we are using up our gas reserves and the volatility of imported Russian and Central Asian gas, we cannot afford to risk our energy security relying on countries we do not trust. Coal is just too dirty, and we are already over reliant on it as it is. Wind power is a great idea, and we need to seriously invest in large scale off-shore wind farms, but to pretend that this will be able to replace our reliance on gas or coal is to overestimate its current potential. Other renewables like tidal power and solar power are great but just won't generate enough power in their current forms. Oil, like coal, is dirty, and we are again faced with energy security issues not just in that it comes from unreliable and unstable areas but also in that its cost can be prohibitive.
Merkel has increased the amount of money the government invests in renewable energy sources, which is great news as huge investment is needed to turn these useful concepts into real sources of power. For the moment, however, nuclear power is the best way forward. It is very important that in acknowledging the problems of nuclear power and striving to improve the viability of renewables that we don't prematurely decommission our nuclear power stations. Securing energy is one of the fundamental priorities for any government, and it's vital not to put all your resources into one technology.
Labels:
Angela Merkel,
Energy Policy,
Gas,
Germany,
Nuclear Power,
Oil,
Russia,
Wind Power
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